THE IMFL VS SCOTCH WHISKY BATTLE TAKES SHAPE
A difference of $1 a bottle in the import price of whisky could lead to a significant surge in the shipment of popular brands such as Johnnie Walker Black Label and Chivas Regal into India.
Fearing an influx of foreign liquor, domestic players makers have sought a higher minimum import price of $5, instead of $4 in the ongoing India-UK FTA talks.
The report suggests that the deal will prescribe a minimum import price (MIP) and all bottled Scotch above the threshold will see import duty reduced to 100% from 150%, while those coming in casks could see it halved to 75%. The report says that while the details are still being negotiated, there have been discussions around reducing customs duty on bottled Scotch to 50% over 10 years.
Domestic players are of the opinion that India should agree to an MIP of $5 a bottle, instead of $4 for every 750 ml bottle. Popular brands like Johnnie Walker Black Label and Chivas Regal’s basic price is just over $4 a bottle. It is believed that would result in a flood of imports from the UK and wipe out several home-grown players and Indian-made foreign liquor (IMFL) brands.
Earlier this year, India's alcohol industry flagged a 40% increase in whisky imports in the first eight months this financial year against the full fiscal 2021-22, amid the ongoing India-UK negotiations on a free trade agreement (FTA).
Domestic players will find it tough to compete and foreign players, who have set up bottling units here, will not add fresh capacity and may go to the extent of reducing capacity, which will hit employment.
Even without a reduction in import duty, there has been a surge in bottled Scotch in recent years. Bottled whisky imports in FY23 more than doubled to $316 million from $152 million while the value of bulk whisky shipments is estimated to have increased by over 40% to around $149 million.
Domestic players, however, have expressed concerns to the government, pointing out that the surge in bottled Scotch imports in recent years was detrimental to the cause of local distillers and blenders.
It has been observed that all Scotch imports originate from the UK, although some shipments are listed as coming from Singapore and the UAE, as they serve as global trans-shipment hubs. Surprisingly, the cost of Scotch whisky has increased dramatically in Singapore.
Imported products currently constitute a small portion, around 3.3 per cent, of the overall Indian whisky market. However, in the middle and premium segments, defined as whiskies priced over Rs 750 per bottle, the share of Scotch is nearly 32 per cent and steadily increasing.
Currently, Scotch whisky, imported from the UK - both in bottled and bulk - is taxed at 150 per cent in India. According to Chivas Brothers’ Chairman and CEO, the pact between the two governments, if signed, would provide liberalisation in tariffs and will be a 'win-win' for both India and the UK.
One factor has not been considered, viz., the overstock status of these extra-popular brands during the pandemic. The cost of storage space also contributed to the deep cut in prices and the massive volumes sold as economies of scale more than made up the holes in the pockets of sellers.
HOW SCOTCH WHISKY IS PRICED IN INDIA
Single Malt Scotch whisky may be exported only as
bottles, whereas Blended Scotch may be exported as desired by the transacting
duo. Blended Scotch comes to India in huge metallic containers and is shipped
directly to the bottler from the Port of landing. A check of the labels on the
bottles will show you the details of bottling. The Indo-UK talks centre around the US$, an unusual move post Brexit disregarding both the GBP £ and the Euro €. Inter-exchange prices only served to drive costs up and only the GB £ should be considered in the future.
PRICING IN GURGAON HARYANA AS ₹ PER BOTTLE UP TO 31 MAR 23 |
|||
|
JW RED LABEL |
JW BLACK LABEL |
|
1 |
CIF Value US$1 @ ₹ 75 |
US$ 1.85 = 139 |
US$ 4 = 300 |
2 |
Profit & Margin |
139 |
300 |
3 |
Total Landed (1+2) |
278 |
600 |
4 |
Customs @ 150% (on 1) |
208 |
450 |
5 |
Excise @ 50% (on 3) |
139 |
300 |
6 |
Total = 3+4+5 |
625 |
1350 |
7 |
VAT @ 15% (on 6) |
94 |
203 |
8 |
TOTAL 6+7 |
719 |
1553 |
9 |
Retail Margin (Variable) |
50 |
150 |
10 |
VAT On Retail Margin @ 25% |
13 |
38 |
11 |
Break Even Retail Price |
782 |
1741 |
12 |
Actual Retail Price |
Variable, ~800 |
Variable,~1,800 |
This is how Black Label was sold at Rs 1800 in Gurgaon till this financial year. The Retail Margin varied according to demand and prices of other Scotch whiskies were decided according to availability and popularity.
PRICING IN GURGAON HARYANA AS ₹ PER BOTTLE AFTER 31 MAR 2023 |
|||
|
JW RED LABEL |
JW BLACK LABEL |
|
1 |
CIF Value £1 @ ₹ 82.50 |
$ 1.85 = 153 |
$4 = 330 |
2 |
Profit & Margin |
153 |
330 |
3 |
Total Landed (1+2) |
306 |
660 |
4 |
Customs @ 150% (on 1) |
227 |
495 |
5 |
Excise @ 50% (on 3) |
153 |
330 |
6 |
Total |
686 |
1485 |
7 |
VAT @ 15% (on 6) |
103 |
223 |
8 |
TOTAL |
789 |
1708 |
9 |
Retail Margin |
80 |
100 |
10 |
VAT On Retail Margin @ 25% |
20 |
25 |
11 |
Break Even Retail Price |
889 |
1833 |
12 |
Actual Retail Price |
Variable, ~1,000 |
Variable,~2,100 |
There has indeed been an increase in prices across Haryana, but it is relatively small compared to global duty-free prices. The cost elsewhere is staggering, as reported by ToI below:
THE CURRENT PRICING IN INDIA AS ₹ PER BOTTLE |
|||
|
JW RED LABEL |
JW BLACK LABEL |
|
1 |
CIF Value |
175 |
330 |
2 |
Profit & Margin |
373 |
803 |
3 |
Total Landed (1+2) |
548 |
1,133 |
4 |
Customs @ 150% (on 1) |
262 |
495 |
5 |
Excise @ 85% (on 3) |
467 |
920 |
6 |
VAT @ 25% |
320 |
637 |
7 |
Total |
1,597 |
3,185 |
8 |
Retail Margin |
82 |
100 |
9 |
VAT On Retail Margin @ 25% |
21 |
25 |
10 |
RETAIL PRICE |
1,700 |
3,310 |
Breakage is taken as 03%, i.e., three bottles in 100.